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UR-ENERGY INC (URG)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • 2024 year-end: UR-Energy delivered 570,000 lbs U3O8 at an average price of $58.15/lb (produced: 270k lbs; non-produced: 300k lbs). 2024 Sales were $33.7M with a gross loss of $9.0M and net loss of $53.2M, driven by high costs during ramp-up and losses on non-produced pounds; Q4 head grade averaged 66.2 mg/L with 81,771 lbs captured and 74,006 lbs drummed .
  • 2025 deliveries revised: Company deferred 300k lbs from 2025 to H1 2026; now plans to deliver 440,000 lbs in 2025 for approximately $27.1M sales proceeds; Shirley Basin buildout remains on schedule with initial production expected in early 2026 .
  • Balance sheet and liquidity: Cash resources were $76.1M at 12/31/24 and $71.8M as of April 9, 2025; earlier period cash was higher due to July 2024 equity raise and decreased into year-end as operations and inventory purchases progressed .
  • Positioning and macro: Management highlighted that Lost Creek was the largest U.S. uranium producer per EIA Q3-2024 report; long-term contracts (now seven) support deliveries through 2030 with market-linked pricing components and annual base deliveries of 440k–1.3M lbs from 2025–2030 .
  • Estimates: S&P Global consensus EPS/Revenue for Q4 2024 were not retrievable at this time; comparisons to Street were therefore unavailable (S&P Global access limit reached).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Contracting strength and visibility: Seven multi-year sales agreements now cover 2025–2030 (base 440k–1.3M lbs annually) with pricing designed to be profitable on an all-in cost basis and to escalate annually, some with market-related components .
  • Production ramp progress indicators: Q4 head grade averaged 66.2 mg/L; six header houses came online in 2024 with HH 2-12 in Jan-25 and HH 2-13 in Mar-25; equipment maintenance on dryers progressed, improving operational readiness into 2025 .
  • Market positioning: Management emphasized Lost Creek’s status as the largest U.S. uranium producer per EIA Q3-2024 report and reiterated constructive long-term uranium market fundamentals .
    • Quote: “Lost Creek is the largest uranium producer in the US according to the… EIA… report… from Q3 2023 through… Q3 2024.”
    • Quote: “As intended, the long-term contracts we signed beginning in 2022 largely insulate our revenue… while providing us with visibility to higher spot prices through hybrid contracts and uncommitted production.”

What Went Wrong

  • 2024 unit economics pressured: Average cost per lb sold was $64.34 vs average price $58.15 (loss of $6.19/lb), driven by high-cost non-produced pounds (avg cost $75.87/lb) and elevated produced costs during ramp-up .
  • Profitability impacted by inventory NRV adjustments: 2024 gross loss was $9.0M; total 2024 NRV adjustments were $6.0M (including $2.5M on non-produced inventory), reflecting cost/price dynamics and ramp-up effects .
  • Delivery profile reduced for 2025: Company deferred 300k lbs initially scheduled for 2025 to H1 2026; now plans to deliver 440k lbs in 2025 (~$27.1M proceeds), lowering near-term sales vs earlier expectations (previously 700–740k lbs guided) .

Financial Results

Operational KPIs (Production and Inventory Flow)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Pounds Captured (lbs)70,679 75,075 81,771
Pounds Drummed (lbs)64,170 71,804 74,006
Pounds Shipped (lbs)70,390 67,488
In-Process Inventory (lbs, period-end)86,204 90,140 39,169
Plant Inventory (lbs, period-end)21,570 26,580 33,919
Conversion Inventory – Produced (lbs, period-end)74,625 40,713 12,239

Note: Full-year 2024 shipped totaled 239,849 lbs and ending inventory 335,327 lbs (includes 250,000 lbs non-produced at converter) .

Sales and Unit Economics (Annual)

MetricFY 2023FY 2024
U3O8 Pounds Sold (Total) (lbs)280,000 570,000
Average Price per lb Sold ($/lb)61.89 58.15
Average Cost per lb Sold ($/lb)30.99 64.34
Profit (Loss) per lb ($/lb)30.90 (6.19)
Produced Price / Cost / Profit per lb ($/lb)61.23 / 28.04 / 33.19 61.65 / 51.53 / 10.12
Non-Produced Price / Cost / Profit per lb ($/lb)64.47 / 42.56 / 21.91 55.00 / 75.87 / (20.87)
Sales ($000)17,679 33,706
Cost of Sales ($000)(19,365) (42,679)
Gross Profit (Loss) ($000)(1,686) (8,973)
Operating Loss ($000)(30,842) (63,089)
Net Loss ($000)(30,656) (53,189)

Notes: 2024 NRV adjustments totaled $6.0M (including $2.5M on non-produced inventory) . 2024 U3O8 “Product Sales” totaled $33,146k (produced $16,646k; non-produced $16,500k) .

Liquidity and Cash

MetricQ2 2024 (6/30)Q3 2024 (9/30)FY 2024 (12/31)Post-Year (4/9/25)
Cash Resources ($M)$61.3 $129.4 $76.1 $71.8

Revenue/EPS vs Estimates (Q4 2024)

MetricQ4 2024 ActualQ4 2024 Consensus# of Estimates
RevenueN/A (not disclosed in press release)N/A (unavailable)N/A (unavailable)
EPSN/A (not disclosed in press release)N/A (unavailable)N/A (unavailable)

S&P Global consensus estimates could not be retrieved due to access limits at this time; therefore “vs. estimates” comparisons are unavailable.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Lost Creek Captured ProductionFY 2024550k–650k lbs (earlier) 240k–280k lbs (Q3 update) Lowered
U3O8 DeliveriesFY 2024570k lbs; ~$33.1M revenue 570k lbs; $58.15/lb achieved Maintained/Achieved
U3O8 DeliveriesFY 2025700k–740k lbs (earlier) 440k lbs; ~$27.1M proceeds Lowered (300k lbs deferred to H1’26)
Shirley Basin StartInitial ProductionEarly 2026 Early 2026 reiterated Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was found; themes below draw from Q2–Q3 results releases and the April 11 year-end press release.

TopicQ2 2024 (previous)Q3 2024 (previous)Q4 2024 (current period)Trend
Production RampHHs added; rising capture/drumming; still equipment/operational challenges Continued increases; 2024 capture guided down to 240–280k lbs Q4 head grade 66.2 mg/L; 81,771 lbs captured; repairs on dryers; more HHs online in early 2025 Improving execution, yet still normalizing
Sales Book & Pricing5.7M lbs 2024–2030; profitable on all-in basis; escalators; market-linked features Six agreements; steady term price strength Seven agreements; base 440k–1.3M lbs/year 2025–2030 Stronger contract coverage
2025 Deliveries700–730k lbs guided 740k indicated 440k planned; 300k deferred to H1’26 Lower near-term volume
Macro/TariffsRussian uranium ban law noted Demand/term price support; utility RFPs Minimal tariff impact to date; deliveries mostly U.S.; uranium largely excluded Supportive macro; limited tariff impact
Project PipelineShirley Basin buildout decision; early 2026 start Construction advancing; early 2026 start Buildout on schedule; early 2026 reiterated On track

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and contract insulation: “As intended, the long-term contracts we signed beginning in 2022 largely insulate our revenue from these uncertainties while providing us with visibility to higher spot prices through hybrid contracts and uncommitted production.” – John Cash, CEO .
  • Execution priorities: “Our primary objectives will be to continue to safely ramp up production at Lost Creek and finalize the buildout of our Shirley Basin mine so our constructed annual mine/mill capacity will increase to 2.2M pounds U3O8.” .
  • Tariffs and supply chain: “To date, we have seen no impact from tariffs on our deliveries… uranium has largely been excluded from tariffs… little to no impact… on purchases of materials for construction at Shirley Basin…” .
  • Market positioning: “Lost Creek is the largest uranium producer in the US according to the… EIA… Q3 2024.” .
  • 2025 delivery strategy and inventory: “By purchasing and borrowing inventory in Q4 2024, we took proactive measures to meet our 2024 delivery requirements and to establish a sufficient base inventory position for 2025… we plan to deliver 440,000 pounds U3O8 in 2025 for approximately $27.1 million…” .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available; no Q&A highlights could be reviewed. Commentary above reflects press releases and 8-K disclosures .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and Revenue could not be retrieved due to access limits at this time; as a result, we cannot provide “vs. estimates” comparisons for Q4 2024. We will update once access is restored.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • 2024 ramp advanced but at elevated costs; produced-pound economics remained positive, but non-produced pounds (to meet delivery obligations) created per-pound losses, compressing margins and producing a $9.0M gross loss for the year .
  • 2025 deliveries reset to 440k lbs (from 700–740k earlier) with 300k lbs deferred to H1’26; near-term revenue is lower, but inventory/delivery timing better aligns with ramp and Shirley Basin start .
  • Contract book now seven agreements with base 440k–1.3M lbs annually (2025–2030) and escalators/market-linked features, providing multi-year revenue visibility and leverage to higher pricing .
  • Operational execution remains the swing factor: continued improvements in grades, header house additions, and resolved maintenance are critical to lowering unit costs and restoring per-pound profitability .
  • Shirley Basin remains on schedule for early 2026 start, set to expand licensed/constructed capacity to 2.2M lbs; on-time commissioning would materially change volume and cost profile into 2026+ .
  • Macro tailwinds intact; tariffs have had minimal impact to date; utility RFPs and term pricing trends continue to support contracting and long-term fundamentals .
  • Near-term trading implication: sentiment likely hinges on evidence of sustained cost normalization at Lost Creek and confirmation of 2025 delivery cadence; medium-term thesis turns on Shirley Basin timing and incremental contracting at attractive pricing .

Sources: Q4/Year-End 2024 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 press release (April 11, 2025) ; 2025-02-10 production/construction update ; Q3 2024 results press release (Nov 6, 2024) ; Q2 2024 results press release (Aug 9, 2024) ; filing delay press release (Mar 31, 2025) .